BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.


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Tennessee St

Class: 1B Class Rank: 76 Conference: Ohio Valley Conference Record: (4-3) Overall: (5-6) Overall Strength =   61.24

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 09/05/2021 Neutral L    47.51  10  16   1B 110 (  4-  7) Grambling St          -13.03      7.03                      
  2 09/11/2021 Neutral L    52.67  16  38   1B  27 ( 10-  1) Jackson St             -7.87    -14.13                      
  3 09/18/2021 Home    W    92.68  41   7    2  86 (  7-  4) Kentucky St            32.14      1.86                      
  4 09/25/2021 Away    L *  36.10  14  47   1B  57 (  4-  7) SE Missouri St        -24.44     -8.56                      
  5 10/02/2021 Away    W *  78.51  24  22   1B  29 (  6-  5) Austin Peay            17.97    -15.97                      
  6 10/16/2021 Home    W *  56.28  20  13   1B 114 (  3-  8) Tennessee Tech         -4.26     11.26                      
  7 10/23/2021 Away    W *  84.82  28   0   1B 107 (  1- 10) Eastern Illinois       24.28      3.72                      
  8 10/30/2021 Home    W *  65.70  27  21   1B  75 (  6-  5) Murray St               5.17      0.83                      
  9 11/06/2021 Away    L *  56.00  20  41   1B  32 ( 10-  2) Tennessee-Martin       -4.53    -16.47                      
 10 11/13/2021 Home    L *  42.13   7  36   1B  29 (  6-  5) Austin Peay           -18.40    -10.60                      
 11 11/20/2021 Away    L    48.61  10  55   1A  36 (  7-  5) Mississippi St        -11.92 *  -33.08                      
      Averages              60.09  19.7 26.9

Best game:   92.68 = 34 point win over Kentucky St
Worst game:  36.10 = 33 point loss to SE Missouri St
Team stdev:  18.22